A primary econometric approach to modeling and forecasting the demand for fuelwood in Turkey

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dc.authorid0000-0001-5166-928Xen_US
dc.contributor.authorKayacan, Bekir
dc.contributor.authorUcal, Meltem Şengün
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Atakan
dc.contributor.authorBali, Ramazan
dc.contributor.authorKoçer, Sacit
dc.contributor.authorKaplan, Erdem
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-21T13:31:37Z
dc.date.available2022-01-21T13:31:37Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.departmentAÇÜ, Orman Fakültesi, Orman Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractA primary econometric approach is presented to understand the determinants of variation in national demand for domestically-produced fuelwood in Turkey. Also included in this study is a demand forecast for fuelwood based upon the econometric model proposed in this study. Being in multiplicative form originally, the proposed model is converted in to a double-log or log-linear form, for the ease of immediate interpretation of the parameter estimates in respect of elasticities. Parameter estimation is based on a panel and time series data set that belongs to the 15-year period between 1995 and 2009. The demand forecast presented has a horizon of 7 years beyond 2009. Major findings of the research include: 1) fuelwood demand in Turkey appears to conform to the law of demand with an inverse price-demand relationship; 2) fuelwood demand is notably price-sensitive with relatively high price elasticity; 3) fuelwood does not appear to be a related (complementary or substitute) good with coal and natural gas; and 4) fuelwood in Turkey is likely to be a "normal good" in respect of demand-income relationship. Meanwhile, based upon the proposed model here, fuelwood demand in Turkey may reasonably continue to show a downward trend till a level of 5 million m(3) per annum, which is an about 50% reduction from the demand level in 1995. Further research is particularly needed for Turkey in view of the rapidly changing socio-economic profile of rural and urban population, which is being reflected in the demand for energy from wood in forms besides wood in the raw.
dc.identifier.citationKayacan, B., Ucal, M. S., Öztürk, A., Bali, R., Koçer, S., & Kaplan, E. (2012). A primary econometric approach to modeling and forecasting the demand for fuelwood in Turkey. Journal Of Food Agriculture & Environment, 10, 934-937.en_US
dc.identifier.endpage937en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/A
dc.identifier.startpage934en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11494/3712
dc.identifier.volume10en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Atakan
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherWFL Publen_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Food Agriculture & Environment
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.relation.tubitak107 O 781
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectFuel wood demanden_US
dc.subjectEconometric modelen_US
dc.subjectRegression analysisen_US
dc.subjectDemand forecasten_US
dc.subjectTurkish forestryen_US
dc.titleA primary econometric approach to modeling and forecasting the demand for fuelwood in Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticle

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