Analysis of the phillips curve: an assessment of Turkey

dc.contributor.authorNar, Mehmet
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-17T11:11:05Z
dc.date.available2021-03-17T11:11:05Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.departmentAÇÜ, Sanat ve Tasarım Fakültesien_US
dc.description.abstractThis study analyzes the validity of the Phillips curve with regards to Turkey. The existence and direction of the causality relationship (reason-outcome relationship) between unemployment and inflation is investigated using inflation and unemployment data for the period 1980-2019. Unit root tests were utilized to evaluate the stationarity of the series. In line with the Zivot-Andrews unit root test, which was developed in response to the criticism of the failure of studies that presented macro-variables like inflation to consider traditional unit root tests, in this research, the Engle-Granger cointegration test was implemented to check whether the series could perform a joint action, and, finally, the Granger causality relationship was explored. According to the results of the analysis, over the relevant period there was a single directional causality relationship from inflation toward unemployment in Turkey. The importance of this relationship at the 10% significance level indicates the existence of many different factors that affect inflation and unemployment. Given the existence of a cointegration and causality relationship between inflation and unemployment, it can be said that, in Turkey, the Phillips curve is valid for the period 1980-2019 and that an increase of 1% in inflation will reduce the unemployment rate by 0.028%.
dc.identifier.citationNar, M. (2021). Analysis of the Phillips Curve: An Assessment of Turkey. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 8(2), 65-75.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no2.0065
dc.identifier.endpage64en_US
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/A
dc.identifier.startpage57en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11494/2742
dc.identifier.volume8en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorNar, Mehmet
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherKorea Distribution Science Association (KODISA)en_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United States*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/*
dc.subjectMacroeconomicsen_US
dc.subjectPhillips Curveen_US
dc.subjectInflationen_US
dc.subjectUnemploymenten_US
dc.subjectAdaptive Expectationsen_US
dc.titleAnalysis of the phillips curve: an assessment of Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticle

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