The influence of exchange rate on performance of furniture industry: The case of Turkey

dc.contributor.authorÇayır, Mustafa
dc.contributor.authorErsen, Nadir
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-02T10:23:12Z
dc.date.available2026-07-02T10:23:12Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentAÇÜ, Artvin Meslek Yüksekokulu, Ormancılık ve Orman Ürünleri Bölümü
dc.description.abstractIn this study, the effect of the effective exchange rate on the industrial production index, capacity utilization rate, import and export of the furniture products sector was investigated. The analysis covers the period from 2007 to 2023, and the data consists of month observations. Since some of the variables are non-linear and not stationary at the same level, nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag limit test (NARDL), which takes into account asymmetric effects, was used as a method. According to the results of the research, it has been determined that in the short term, downward movements in the effective exchange rate increase the capacity utilization rate of the furniture sector with a significance of 5 %, while upward movements in the effective exchange rate decrease the industrial production index of the furniture sector with a significance of 1 %. Additionally, the downward movements in the effective exchange rate negatively affect the export of furniture products in the long term, while it positively affects the import of furniture in the short term.
dc.description.abstractU ovom je radu istražen utjecaj efektivnog tečaja na indeks industrijske proizvodnje, stopu iskorištenosti kapaciteta te na uvoz i izvoz u sektoru namještaja. Analiza obuhvaća razdoblje od 2007. do 2023. godine, a podatci se sastoje od mjesečnih opažanja. Budući da su neke varijable nelinearne i nisu stacionarne na istoj razini, primijenjen je nelinearni autoregresivni distribuirani test vremenskih ograničenja (NARDL) koji uzima u obzir asimetrične učinke. Prema rezultatima istraživanja, utvrđeno je da silazna kretanja efektivnog tečaja povećavaju stopu iskorištenosti kapaciteta sektora namještaja u kratkom roku, sa značajnošću od 5 %, dok uzlazna kretanja efektivnog tečaja smanjuju indeks industrijske proizvodnje sektora namještaja, uz značajnost od 1 %. Osim toga, silazna kretanja efektivnog tečaja dugoročno negativno utječu na izvoz namještaja, dok kratkoročno pozitivno utječu na njegov uvoz.
dc.identifier.doi10.5552/drvind.2025.0248
dc.identifier.endpage389
dc.identifier.issn00126772
dc.identifier.issue4
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105024560575
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage379
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11494/6232
dc.identifier.volume76
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001645012700003
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of Zagreb Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology
dc.relation.ispartofDrvna Industrija
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectEffective exchange rate
dc.subjectForeign trade
dc.subjectCapacity utilization rate
dc.subjectIndustrial production index
dc.subjectFurniture sector
dc.subjectEfektivni tečaj
dc.subjectVanjska trgovina
dc.subjectStopa iskorištenosti kapaciteta
dc.subjectIndeks industrijske proizvodnje
dc.subjectSektor namještaja
dc.titleThe influence of exchange rate on performance of furniture industry: The case of Turkey
dc.title.alternativeUtjecaj tečaja na uspješnost industrije namještaja: Primjer Turske
dc.typeArticle

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